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WEEKLY NEWSLETTER

Dec 16, 2019

WEEKLY NEWSLETTER

16th December to 20th December 2019

INTRODUCTION
THE LIQUIDITY

We provide a secure environment for traders across the globe both on a retail and institutional level to access the global financial markets in a well regulated Environment. The Liquidity LTD provide a Fully automated ECN / STP brokerage experience with minimum human interference, this provides our traders a level playing field to trade and achieve more profitability with no conflict of interest in a safe and secured trading environment.

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Weekly Newsletter

Week Starting 16th December to 20th December, 2019

Disclaimer

Trading currencies, stocks, futures, and options entail significant risk. The highly leveraged nature of futures trading can result in substantial gains as well as substantial losses. You are entirely responsible for all the risks from your trading decisions. You should not make any trading decisions unless you understand the nature of the trades (transactions) you are entering into and your exposure to loss. If you do not fully understand these risks,

Fundamentals History of Previous Week

FOMC leaves Fed funds rate at 1.50%-1.75%, as expected.

US November CPI +2.1% y/y vs +2.0% expected Prior was 1.8% y/y.

US Unit labor costs +2.5% vs +3.6% prelim. Non-farm productivity -0.2% vs -0.1% expected (prelim -0.3%). That's another reason for the Fed to stay dovish.

US initial jobless claims 252K vs 214K estimate.

US and China reach a deal. Bloomberg reports that the US and China have reached a phase on trade deal, citing people familiar.

GBP - UK October visible trade balance -£14.5 billion vs -£11.7 billion expected. BAD FOR STERLING.

GBP - UK October monthly GDP 0.0% vs +0.1% m/m expected

UK PM Johnson: We will leave the EU on 31 January; no ifs, no buts.

Canada Q3 industrial capacity fall to 81.7% from 83.3% last quarter.

Canada October building permits -1.5% vs +2.8% expected.

CAD - Canada labor productivity QoQ for 3Q 0.2% versus 0.2% estimate.

Swiss government raises 2019 GDP growth forecast to 0.9% from 0.8% previously.

NZ will boost fiscal spending. Spending to rise by NZD 12bn, most of it infrastructure investment. NZD GOT STRONG ON THIS.

RBC project an RBA rate cut and QE package To follow rate cuts to 0.25%.

The RBA next meet on February 4 (in January they are at the beach) - they'll cut again.

AUD is under pressure from a growing expectation of coming rate cuts.

EIA lowers 2020 supply outlook after OPEC Sees supply for 2020 at 102.29 mbpd vs 102.58 mbpd prior. Demand seen at 102.14 mbpd vs 102.27 mbpd prior. EIA forecasts OPEC crude oil production will average 29.3 million b/d in 2020, down by 0.5 million b/d from 2019.

Major Upcoming Fundamental Highlights

EUR

FLASH MANUFACTURING PMI DATA IS GOING TO RELEASED WHICH IS GOOD FOR CURRENCY IF IT IS ABOVE 50.0

Mon Dec 16 - 12:15Pm

GBP

FLASH MANUFACTURING PMI DATA IS GOING TO RELEASED WHICH IS GOOD FOR CURRENCY IF IT IS ABOVE 50.0

Mon Dec 16 – 01:30Pm

USD

FLASH MANUFACTURING PMI DATA IS GOING TO RELEASED WHICH IS GOOD FOR CURRENCY IF IT IS ABOVE 50.0

Mon Dec 16 – 06:45pm

AUD

Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes BY Reserve Bank of Austrelia (RBA).

Mon Dec 17 - 04:30am

EUR

ECB President Lagarde Speaks. More hawkish than expected is good for currency.

Mon Dec 18 – 12:30pm

GBP

Consumer Price Index (CPI) data y/y which is expected to remain same 1.5% as previous.

Mon Dec 18 - 01:30pm

NZD

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data q/q which is expected to remain same 0.5% as previous.

Mon Dec 19 – 01:45am

AUD

Change in the number of employed people during the previous month which is expected much better.

Mon Dec 19 – 04:30am

JPY

Interest Rate Statement by Bank of Japan (BOJ) .

Mon Dec 19 -

GBP

Monetary policy summary and Trade balance data is to be released with high impact on currency.

Mon Dec 20 - 01:30pm

Let’s have look at Weekly Trading Opportunities:
GOLD:

CRUDE OIL:

AUSD:

(HAVE A GREAT TRADING WEEK AHEAD ☺️)

Disclaimer: This material is considered a marketing communication and does not contain, and should not be construed as containing, investment advice or an investment recommendation or, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee of or prediction of future performance. The Liquidity does not take into account your personal investment objectives or financial situation. The Liquidity makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or other information supplied by an employee of The Liquidity, a third party or otherwise..

Terms and conditions: The information provided does not constitute, in any way, a solicitation or inducement to buy or sell securities and similar products. Comments and analysis reflect the views of the Research Analyst at any given time and are subject to change at any time. Moreover, they cannot constitute a commitment or guarantee on the part of the Research Analyst. The recipient acknowledges and agrees that by their very nature any investment in a financial instrument is of a random nature and therefore any such investment constitutes a risky investment for which the recipient is solely responsible. It is specified that the past performance of a financial product does not prejudge in any way their future performance. The foreign exchange market and financial derivatives such as futures, CFDs (Contracts for Difference), warrants, turbos or certificates involve a high degree of risk. They require a good level of financial knowledge and experience. The Research Analyst recommends the consultation of a financial professional who would have a perfect knowledge of the financial and patrimonial situation of the recipient of this message and would be able to verify that the financial products mentioned are adapted to the said situation and the financial objectives pursued. The Research Analyst recommends reading the "risk factors" section of the prospectus for any financial product mentioned.

©2019 The Liquidity. All rights reserved.

Legal:

Liquidity Ltd is incorporated in St. Vincent & the Grenadines as an International Business Company with the registration number 24896 IBC. The objects of the Company are all subject matters not forbidden by International Business Companies (Amendment and Consolidation) Act, Chapter 149 of the Revised Laws of Saint Vincent and Grenadines, 2009, in particular but not exclusively to provide brokerage services in currencies, commodities, indexes, CFDs and leveraged financial instruments.

Trade Responsibly:

Forex and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 79% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading Forex and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how Forex and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

 

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