WEEKLY NEWSLETTER from 2nd December to 6th December 2019

Dec 03, 2019


2nd December to 6th December 2019


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Weekly Newsletter

Week Starting 2nd December to 6th ember, 2019


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Fundamentals History of Previous Week

Oil drop nears 5% on OPEC worries because there is Fears that Russia will block an OPEC+ quota extension.

OPEC expects the oil market to be balanced in 2020 if it maintains current production levels. it shows that an oil supply surplus in 1H 2020 will be mostly offset by a deficit in 2H 2020..

Weekly EIA US oil inventories +1572K vs -878K expected. Crude oil dipped on the data.

China official PMIs for November beat estimates and higher than in October. The manufacturing PMI has come in at 50.2. This is an encouraging indication for China's economy.

Canada September non-farm earnings +4.0% y/y vs +2.6% prior. This is another reason the Bank of Canada won't cut. That's the largest rise in wages since at least 2014. Also Canada Q3 GDP +1.3% vs +1.3% expected.

Canada September budget deficit C$0.58B. Canada is looking forward as solid government with positive rating to manage and growth of economy.

Japan November consumer confidence index 38.7 vs 36.8 expected. That is quite a decent rebound in terms of consumer sentiment.

Reports of large protests to come again this weekend in Hong Kong. Various media reports citing organising of large-scale rallies on social media. This will turn on the risk on sentiment in market as JPY is driver of many pairs.

Japan's disappointing industrial production data for October -4.2% m/m (expected -2.0%).

The Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy decision is on Tuesday December 3 2019.

Japan and South Korea are to have trade talks in December.

US weekly initial jobless claims 213K vs 221K expected. NOT bad sign for DX.

China's gold demand dips to lowest level Oct 2016. There have been a number of bearish factors for Gold. Also GOLD imports in india Falling.

GBP - UK October mortgage approvals 64.6k vs 65.4k expected. the UK economy is still a long way under pressure to potentially have to cut rates before the whole Brexit debacle can be sorted out before the end of next year.


Australian Bureau of Statistics will release data of Change in the number of new building approvals issued which is expected very negative for Currency.

Mon Dec 2 - 5:30am+5GMT


European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde speaks.

Mon Dec 2 - 7:0am+5GMT


Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries by RBA which is expected sam+5GMTe as perivious 0.75%

Mon Dec 3 - :30am+5GMT


Australian Bureau of Statistics is going to release GDP data for Q/Q which is expected sam+5GMTe 0.5% as previous. 

Mon Dec  - 5:30am+5GMT


ADP Non-Farm Employment Change which is expected strong and good for currency as 125K to 140K.

Mon Dec 4 - :30am+5GMT


Interest Rate Statement by Bank of Canada which is expected sam+5GMTe as previous 1.75%

Mon Dec 4 - 8:00am+5GMT


RBNZ Gov Orr Speaks as head of the central bank.

Mon Dec 5 - 5:0am+5GMT


Month Retail sales and Trade Balance data is to be released by Australian Bureau of Statistics which is expected to be strong. 

Mon Dec  - 5:30am+5GMT


Employment Change which is expected good -1.8K to 10K. While unemployment rate expected to remain sam+5GMTe 5.5%.

Mon Dec 6 - :30am+5GMT


Non-Farm Employment Change which is expected good 128K to 189K. While unemployment rate expected to remain sam+5GMTe 3.6%.

Mon Dec 6 - :30am+5GMT

Let’s have look at Weekly Trading Opportunities: